If the international community starts to believe that 1.5 is gone, there will be space for big polluters, national and commercial, to wriggle away from obligations and to slow progress, at a time when the planet can least afford it. They have stressed that this is worrying but temporary and that the temperature could be brought down over the long term by a sharp decrease in emissions.īut this is the kind of moment that keeps those engaged in the battle against climate change up at night.īecause the very worst thing that could happen to policymakers and climate diplomats fighting to keep consensus in a warming world, is that this hard-fought shared goal, a rare common value, starts to crumble. Now, for the first time, scientists say it is more likely that not that this barrier will be breached in the coming five years. Climate change and energy correspondent the Paris Agreement in 2015, the climate change narrative has focused on efforts to limit warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial temperatures.Īt successive UN climate summits, the language may have shifted a little, from keeping it within reach to keeping it alive, to not letting it die - but 1.5C has been a hugely symbolic center of gravity around which the vast majority of discussions have rotated.
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